, the pollstersre a in trentacck aney'ttrd, including fox's polls apparently. here is dick morris staggering even sean hannity on fox news this week. >> as he's at the moment in a very strong position. i believe if the election were held today, romney would winy four or five points. i believe he would carry fla,o,gi i ev w c na. i believe he would carry pennsylvania. >> oh, come on. >> pennsylvania, and i believe he would be competitive in michigan. people need to understand that the polling this year is the worst it's evebeen because is ie t tihe if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they're going to vote. the models these folks are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of six or seven points. >>e're a wro in is business, we make mistakes. he's the only guy i know who knows he's wrong when he says this stuff, dick morris. in theyes of republicans, it's that the polls are conspiring to bring him down. michael tomay, special copot "nee ann anan msnbc political analyst and author of "my father at 100." ron, you have to start with you. you're a sympathetic voice when i

job force since 1981. dick morris had the best comment about the brilliant job that president clinton did. it was a fantastic speech. but he assessed it this way. it was like maybe a defense attorney giving the closing arguments, very passionately for his clientt when he knew he was guilty. that is just dick's thought and i think he may be right. so another big moment this week. texas mayor julian castro gave the address. >> it sichoice where the middle class pay more where the millionaires pay less or everybody pays their fair share so we reduce the deficit and create the jobs of the future. >> that was a san antonio mayor julian castro . when he said he just wants everyone to pay their fair share particularly the millionaires. let me break news to him. top five percent income earners pay pen percent of all taxes in the country. let me repeat that. obviously it hasn't sunk in to the folk in the democratic parity. the villanized group of people that they like to beat up on. pay pen percent of all taxes in the country. and when he talks about the fair share, remember that 50 percent of

trust it. >> welcome back to "the ed show." that was dick morris, at's right, talking about his super secret polling source more than a month ago. and it seems republicans are now working ha thaever to create the own reality. the conspiracy theories are reached fox news. >> well, if you look at the mainstream media, the big headline is, according to their polling, mitt romney is, what, five, six, seven, eight points behind barack obama right now. is that the same kind of polng rnguys fngh >> hold it right there. he's complaining about all those mainstream media polls? but fox news' most recent poll had president obama up by five points over mi romney. here's ed gillespie of the romney campaign answering his queson. >> it is not consistent with our polling, stephen. i'm struck by a couple of things. number one, there are three swing state polls out today, and in every single one of them, they have a democratic voter participation that is higher than the participation in the electorate in 2008 iliecoin about something a lot of republicans have been complaining about as of late. they say

job force in september of 1981. dick morris, i think, had the best comment about the brilliant job president clinton did. it was pa fantastic speech i'll give him creedit for that. he assessed it this way, it was like maybe a defense attorney giving the closing arguments, very passionately, for his client when he knew he was guilty. but that's just dick's thought and i think he might be be right. [applause]. so, another big moment this week, texas mayor julian castro in the key he note address. >> it's a choice between the country where the middle class pays more so that millionaire pay less or a country where everybody pays their fair share so we can reduce the deficit and create the jobs of the future. >> okay, that was the san antonio mayor, julian castro. now, when he saide just wants everyone to pay their fair share, particularly the millionaires. let me bring some news to him. the top 5% income earners in america, pay 57% of all the taxes in the country. and let me repeat that. obviously, it hasn't sunk through to some of the folks in the democratic party yet. the top 5%, tha

you something that dick morris posted about the polling. he said, quote, the polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among obama's core support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has served as president. if you adjust virtually any of the published polls to refleck the 2004 vote, they show the race tied or rom no ahead. a view much closer to reality. larry, what do you make of that? >> you can play lots of games with waiting. vidone it myself. but we have to take these polls as a whole, the polling averages. people ask me, what's the best poll? i always say, none of them. take the polling averages at real clear politics or pollster.com and when you take the averages i don't see what dick is projecting to be reality. maybe that will eventually happen. but it is not there yet. >> steve, larry mentioned this hiewmg gap in women voters -- why? what do you make of that? >> there is always a gender gap. the question is, and i think that dr. sabbato make this is point well, why this yea